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AUTHORS. Kalysta Adkins, University of Minnesota; Charlotte Roy*, Minnesota Department of Natural Resources; David Andersen, University of Minnesota; Robert Wright, Minnesota Department of Natural Resources
ABSTRACT. The Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) has the potential to influence the abundance of greater prairie-chickens (Tympanuchus cupido pinnatus), a species of special concern in Minnesota, by altering the amount and configuration of grassland and wetland in agriculturally dominated landscapes. However, the CRP has experienced recent declines in enrollments in northwestern Minnesota, and these declines are expected to continue following the reduced enrollment cap in the 2014 Farm Bill, which funds the program through 2018. These cuts increase the need to prioritize CRP reenrollments or new enrollments that are likely to have the most impact on greater prairie-chicken populations. To predict changes in greater prairie-chicken abundance caused by expirations of CRP contracts and target CRP enrollments at both the landscape and lek scale, we used models relating lek density and the number of males at leks to CRP enrollments and the resulting landscape structure. We simulated different land cover scenarios of CRP contract expirations, and results indicated that the abundance of greater prairie-chickens would be negatively impacted following scheduled expirations. Simulations of targeted CRP contract enrollment in both small, random enrollment scenarios and large, non-random enrollment scenarios suggested mixed effects on greater prairie-chicken abundance. Adding grassland cover that increased existing grassland contiguity had a positive impact, while additions that decreased contiguity had a negative impact. Landscapes with a large proportion of existing CRP grasslands and wetlands were most likely to continue to support high prairie-chicken abundance through reenrollment and enrollment of new contracts that are large (> 20 acres) and contiguous with existing grassland and wetland cover types.
